Content type

Weaker Growth In Kyrgyzstan On Lower Remittance Inflows

Country Risk / Kyrgyzstan / Thu 03 Aug, 2023

Key View

  • We have revised down our forecast for real GDP in Kyrgyzstan in 2023 from 4.3% to 3.8% as elevated inflation and weaker remittance inflows from Russia weigh on private consumption.
  • Elevated inflation, energy constraints and less favourable base effects will also restrict growth over the coming quarters. 
  • Risks remain tilted to
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Strict Covid-19 Restrictions Continue To Challenge Gabon's Political Stability

Crime, Defence & Security / Kyrgyzstan / Wed 05 May, 2021

Key View

  • We at Fitch Solutions believe that Kyrgyzstan will remain highly vulnerable to instability over the coming years, with its Short-Term Political Risk Index (STPRI) score of 45.0 (out of 100) being the lowest in Central Asia.

  • Recent constitutional reforms give President Sadyr Japarov significantly more power, but we still see

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Social Unrest And Border Tensions Remain Key Risks To Stability In Kyrgyzstan

Crime, Defence & Security / Kyrgyzstan / Wed 05 May, 2021

Key View

  • We at Fitch Solutions believe that Kyrgyzstan will remain highly vulnerable to instability over the coming years, with its Short-Term Political Risk Index (STPRI) score of 45.0 (out of 100) being the lowest in Central Asia.

  • Recent constitutional reforms give President Sadyr Japarov significantly more power, but we still see

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Kyrgyz Economy To Contract In 2020

Country Risk / Kyrgyzstan / Fri 24 Apr, 2020

Key View

  • We are forecasting that the Kyrgyz economy will contract by 4.1% in 2020, due to three factors.
  • Firstly, gold production will fall owing to scheduled maintenance on a processing plant at the country’s only gold mine.
  • Secondly, household spending will collapse as on the back of declining incomes from domestic employment and
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Gold Sector To Buoy Kyrgyz Real GDP Growth In 2019

Country Risk / Kyrgyzstan / Fri 26 Jul, 2019

Key View

  • At Fitch Solutions, we have increased our 2019 real GDP growth forecast owing to stronger-than-expected performance of the gold sector.
  • Growth will slow in 2020 as tailwinds from the gold sector fade and weak Russian growth continues to weigh on remittances and private consumption.
  • However, a continued bright outlook for
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