Content type

Collapse In Israel's Q423 GDP To Weigh On 2024 Growth

Country Risk / Israel / Tue 20 Feb, 2024

Key View

  • The worse than expected contraction in Q423 Israeli GDP (-5.2% q-o-q) was a clear indication of the extent to which the war with Hamas disrupted domestic activity. 
  • The magnitude of the Q4 contraction automatically subtracts 3.6 percentage points from the 2024 average and even though we look for some normalisation during the year
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Israel's External Position Will Weaken Slightly In 2024

Country Risk / Israel / Fri 29 Sep, 2023

Key View

  • We forecast that Israel's current account surplus will widen from 4.1% of GDP in 2022 to 4.6% of GDP in 2023.
  • We previously expected a deficit of 4.2%, but have now become more optimistic about Israeli exports in H223 due to stronger growth in key trading partners. Meanwhile, a weaker Israeli shekel will discourage imports over
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Israel Sugar And Carbonated Drinks Spending Outlook: Despite Cancelled Sugar Levy, The Outlook Turns Sour For Sugary Drinks Brands

Food & Drink / Israel / Tue 18 Jul, 2023

Key View: We hold a negative outlook for carbonated drinks and sugar and sugar products spending in Israel over the medium term (2023-2027). While a recent cancellation of the levy on carbonated drinks will provide short term relief for producers, beverage majors are reducing the sugar levels in their drink products to get ahead of future

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Bank Of Israel To Remain On Pause As Growth Concerns Take Hold

Country Risk / Israel / Tue 11 Jul, 2023

Key View

  • At its latest meeting on July 10 2023, the Bank of Israel left its policy rate unchanged at 4.75%, against our expectations of a 25-basis point (bps) hike.
  • From Q323 onwards, easing commodity prices and the lagged impact of tighter monetary policy will weigh more heavily on price pressures, discouraging further rate hikes. That
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