Content type

Bongo Unlikely To Be Reinstated Following Gabonese Coup

Country Risk / Gabon / Wed 30 Aug, 2023

Key View

  • The apparent military takeover in Gabon will lead to considerable policy uncertainty in the short term, and we have substantially revised down Gabon’s Short-Term Political Risk Index score from 60.3 to 52.8 out of 100 as a result (lower score indicates higher risk) as a result.
  • There is a likely to be a reasonable level of public
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Hydrocarbons Investment To Drive Gabonese GDP Growth In 2023-24

Country Risk / Gabon / Fri 07 Jul, 2023

Key View

  • We expect real GDP growth in Gabon to accelerate to 6.0% in 2023, from an estimated 3.0% in 2022.
  • This growth will be fuelled by fixed investment in the hydrocarbons sector, as well as an uptick in oil production. Private consumption will also make a positive contribution, although this will be capped by sticky inflation in H123.
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Oil Sector To Drive Gabonese Growth In 2022-23

Country Risk / Gabon / Tue 02 Aug, 2022

Key View

  • At Fitch Solutions, we forecast that Gabonese real GDP growth will accelerate to 4.0% in 2022, chiefly driven by increased production in the oil sector, and a robust performance by the construction industry.
  • Growth will accelerate further to 6.2% in 2023, as increasing oil production growth boosts exports, and as fixed investment
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