Emerging Markets: Testing Times In 2015

Emerging markets face testing times. Key themes for 2015 include currency weakness, the return of sovereign debt risk, and the ramifications of a new era for oil prices. Russia's crisis will rumble on, and China's reform drive will create...

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Sri Lanka: Some Possible Lessons From Rajapaksa's Defeat

Former Sri Lankan President Mahinda Rajapaksa's defeat in the January 8 presidential elections offers some interesting lessons for other seemingly secure leaders around the world. Only a few months ago, before Rajapaksa decided to call a snap...

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Latin America: Key Themes Of 2015

The end of the oil price boom, combined with weakening demand and lower prices for Latin America's metals exports, will make 2015 another challenging year for most economies in the region. As a result, global rebalancing pressures will persist,...

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France Terror Attacks: Initial Thoughts

Details about the terror attack against French satirical magazine Charlie Hebdo are still emerging, and no doubt we will hear more about the perpetrators and their motivations over the coming days. However, the prevailing theory is that the magazine...

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Sri Lanka Election: Key Implications

The outcome of Sri Lanka's presidential election on January 8 is too uncertain, given the sudden emergence of a strong joint-opposition candidate. President Mahinda Rajapaksa was first elected in 2005 and overwhelmingly re-elected in 2010 on the...

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BMI Special Report – US Strength, Oil Weakness: The World Adjusts In 2015

Business Monitor International (BMI) has just published its 2015 special report, US Strength, Oil Weakness: The World Adjusts In 2015. Two major macroeconomic themes will dominate the coming year: US economic strength and structurally lower oil...

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Tough Choices For Russia

Russia's currency crisis has abated since December 16 when the currency lost 35% of its value versus the US dollar at one point despite FX intervention and aggressive monetary tightening by the Central Bank of Russia (CBR).  Support for the...

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BMI Publishes 2015 Global, Regional And Sector Outlooks

As 2014 draws to a close, BMI has been busy (we are always busy, admittedly) publishing its global, regional, and sector outlooks for 2015. These are available to subscribers at Business Monitor Online. On a lighter note, the year 2015 has long...

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New Oil Era: Impact For MENA

As a decade of rising oil prices comes to an end, OPEC's decision to leave production unchanged has brought BMI's 'Brent at USD60/bbl' risk scenario to the fore. The trajectory of oil prices will be the key dynamic in the economies of the MENA...

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