Articles

Key Themes For Commodity Prices In 2018

Commodities / Global / Mon 04 Dec, 2017

As the end of 2017 approaches, we have taken the opportunity to lay out what we believe will be the key themes for commodity prices in 2018. Our list is as follows:

  • Pause In The Multi-Year Uptrend

  • Industrial Commodities To Take A Breather

  • Agriculture To Outperform

  • China Reforms To Create Volatility

  • Grain Price Volatility To

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Chinese Homebuilder Outlook Stable, but Market to Cool

Real Estate / China / Tue 28 Nov, 2017

China's housing market is likely to continue to cool in 2018, with sales growth set to slow across most of the country and house prices likely to stay relatively flat, says Fitch Ratings. However, the authorities have considerable policy flexibility to support housing demand, which limits the risk of a market downturn. We therefore maintain a

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Gold: New Projects To Drive Steady Production Growth

Mining / Global / Fri 24 Nov, 2017

The global gold mining industry will experience steady production growth, supported by rising prices and improving operational costs over the coming years.

Global gold mine output growth will pick up over the coming quarters, supported by higher gold prices and solid project pipelines in key countries. We forecast global gold production to

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SSE and innogy Plan Points to Tougher UK Supply Market

Power / United Kingdom / Fri 10 Nov, 2017

SSE and innogy's plan to exit UK retail electricity and gas supply by combining their retail operations into a new separate business suggests that political and regulatory uncertainty, and growing competition have made the market less attractive for existing operators, Fitch Ratings says. The transaction, which does not have an immediate ratings

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Independence Declaration Will Not Lead To Catalan Secession

Country Risk / Spain / Mon 30 Oct, 2017

Following Catalonia's unilateral declaration of independence on October 27, Madrid will act to limit the region's autonomy. While Madrid has tentatively scheduled regional elections for December 21, attempts to prevent independence will heighten the risk of social unrest and civil disobedience. Ultimately, we continue to see secession as an

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Suez Canal To Stimulate Construction Opportunities

Infrastructure / Egypt / Fri 13 Oct, 2017

We remain broadly positive on Egypt's construction sector in the short-to-medium term, as improving investor sentiment on the back of the country's 2016 IMF deal dovetails with prudent government policy incentivising large-scale infrastructure development centred upon the Suez Canal.

In line with our view, the Suez Canal continues to function as a

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Sky Going Alone In Converged Market

Telecommunications / Spain / Fri 13 Oct, 2017

Sky has launched a streaming service outside its core footprint in Europe, for the first time. Targeting Spain, following Netflix and HBO, is interesting, but we believe the structure of the market, moving towards a high level of convergence, will mean Sky will have a limited customer base to address.

Sky has launched a stand-alone streaming

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