Winners And Losers: A New Ukrainian Economy Will Look Different
Country Risk / Ukraine / Wed 06 Mar, 2024
We retain our view that the economy will not return to its pre-war size until 2031. By pre-war we refer to the size of the economy in 2013, before Russia’s first invasion of Ukraine. Ukraine’s National Recovery Plan (NRP) assumes that Ukraine will achieve growth of 7% or higher over the next decade. We believe the NRP, released in 2022, did not