BMI Publishes Global Political Outlook For Q3 2015 – 2016
The world's political calendar will be very busy over the next 18 months, with national elections (presidential or parliamentary, or both) scheduled to be held in Argentina, Belarus, Canada, Iran, Japan, Myanmar, Peru, the Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Russia, South Korea, Spain, Taiwan, Thailand, Uganda, the United States and Venezuela, amongst many others.
Most of these elections will result in considerable uncertainty for investors, as there is a great deal of anti-incumbent sentiment worldwide, and many governments will change hands over the remainder of 2015 and in 2016.
At the same time, the world's three main flashpoints, namely Ukraine, Syria-Iraq, and Asian maritime disputes, will simmer, and at least one of these will flare up again. We discuss these, as well as the Iran nuclear talks, in more detail in our Global Political Outlook, which is available to subscribers in our online platform.
In our report, we also discuss the following global themes:
- Theme 1: Foreign Policy To Be More Prominent In US 2016 Election, Presaging Greater Assertiveness From 2017
- Theme 2: Leadership Succession Risks Becoming Increasingly Urgent In Dozens Of Countries
- Theme 3: Major Emerging Markets Losing Reform Momentum
- Theme 4: Centralisation Versus Federalisation To Persist, Worldwide
- Theme 5: Ongoing Rise Of Anti-Establishment Parties In Europe
We also feature a comprehensive calendar of forthcoming elections worldwide between now and the end of 2018.