Content type

Consolidation Of Spanish Client Loans To Continue

Banking & Financial Services / Spain / Fri 09 Feb, 2024

Key View

  • The outlook for Spanish lending remains weak, albeit better than in 2023 as household borrowing will recover modestly.
  • Nonetheless, enduring weakness in both the household and corporate sectors will mean that lending will continue to contract in 2024.
  • The Spanish banking sector will likely remain profitable, well capitalised and
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Spanish Political Divisions Threaten Policy-Making Process

Country Risk / Spain / Fri 19 Jan, 2024

Key View

  • We anticipate that Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez and his government will continue to face difficulties passing legislation as ideological differences and the lack of a majority obstructs the policymaking process.
  • Podemos’ exit from the government means that policy in areas such as labour will be especially complicated.
  • The
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Spanish GDP To Weaken In 2024 Under Higher Interest Rates

Country Risk / Spain / Fri 27 Oct, 2023

Key View

  • We have raised our Spanish growth projection for 2024 from 1.0% to 1.3% in view of stronger than previously expected household consumption. However, we still forecast a marked deterioration in growth from an estimated 2.3% in 2023.
  • We believe that the main factor weighing on growth in 2024 will be persistently tight financial
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EU Funding To Drive Spanish Economic Activity

Country Risk / Spain / Fri 28 Jul, 2023

Key View

  • We have revised up our 2023 and 2024 real GDP forecasts for Spain to 1.9% and 2.0% respectively (previous forecasts: 1.4% and 1.0%).
  • Next Generation EU funding, made available between 2021 and 2026, will likely be a key driver of investment activity in Spain.
  • Downside risks to our view will emerge from the continued
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