In-depth country-focused analysis on Senegal's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight


Our comprehensive assessment of Senegal's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Senegal, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Senegal's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Senegal before your competitors.

Country Risk

Senegal Country Risk

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  • Annual real GDP growth in Benin will average 5.2% between 2015 and 2024 as consumer spending increases and the country's political stability engenders elevated levels of fixed investment. Nevertheless, a sporadic electricity supply and reliance on cotton production will hold back the pace of economic development.

  • Benin's political landscape shows little sign of fragility, and will remain one of the most stable, open and accountable in West Africa in the years ahead, enjoined by a free press and a multitude of political parties. Nevertheless, the country faces challenges in the long term such as an overspill of violence from piracy and terrorist activity in the region, and the potential for tribal/ethnic schisms to open.


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Senegal Country Risk

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Core Views:

  • Real GDP growth will be 5.0% in 2015 and 5.1% in 2016, and will remain at a similar level over the coming years.

  • Senegal's current account deficit will widen from 9.1% of GDP in 2014 to 9.5% in 2015 as capital goods imports are ramped up.

  • The country will remain a bastion of West African stability and will continue to develop its democratic institutions.

  • Inflationary pressures will be benign, in part thanks to the XOF Franc's peg to the euro.

Key Risks To Outlook:

  • A major risk is posed by the West African outbreak of Ebola. Although only one case had been reported in Senegal by early October 2014, it could derail growth in the country.

  • A salient risk to...

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Senegal Industry Coverage (1)


Senegal Telecommunications

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BMI View: Our Q315 West and Central Africa report analyses latest industry, regulatory and macroeconomic developments in the telecoms markets of seven countries: Cameroon, Cote d'Ivoire, the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), Gabon, Mali, Mauritania and Senegal. Strong growth over the last decade will lead to more saturated market conditions towards the end of our forecast and operators will increasingly shift their resources towards advanced data services to sustain revenue growth. Their efforts will be complemented by the proliferation of low-cost smartphones and tablets as well as cheaper and more reliable access to international bandwidth connectivity via submarine cables. Despite this, regionally 3G/4G shares of the mobile markets will remain lower than that of the more advanced peers in Europe and Middle-East.

Key Data


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