Election Result: Grand Coalition Still Likely
BMI View: Our expectations of a grand coalition between the centre-right Christian Democrats and centre-left Social Democrats have been reinforced by the results of Germany's September 22 federal election. The policy mix of such a coalition would be very similar to the previous government, albeit with greater scope for disagreement on fiscal and energy policy.
We see several key takeaways from Germany's September 22 federal election result:
The strongest result for Christian Democrats (CDU-CSU) since 1990 reflects widespread support for Chancellor Angela Merkel's leadership.
Not Quite Enough For Majority Germany - Provisional Result of September 22 Federal Election, Seats