Ceasefire To Hold, No Long-Term Resolution In Sight
BMI View: The ceasefire brokered between Israel and Palestinian delegates on August 4 will result in the end of Israel's military 'Operation Protective Edge' as both sides have little to gain from renewed warfare. However, a ceasefire will not result in a lasting resolution to the conflict, and further flare-ups will take place over the coming years.
We believe a 72-hour ceasefire brokered by Egypt in indirect negotiations between Israeli and Palestinian delegates on August 4 will result in the end of the Israeli military 'Operation Protective Edge' against Hamas - the militant group and political party that rules the Gaza Strip. The ceasefire came into effect at 08:00 local time on August 5, and has held as of the time of writing. At least five proposed truces fell apart during the conflict between Israel and Hamas that began on July 8. However, Israel withdrew all forces to positions outside Gaza on August 5, signalling that it intends to put an end to military operations.
Few Tactical Gains Left
|Tensions To Remain Elevated|
|Palestinian Territories - Map|