Content type

Nepal's Growth To Further Accelerate In FY2021/22

Country Risk / Nepal / Sat 19 Feb, 2022

Key View

  • We at Fitch Solutions forecast real GDP growth for Nepal to register at 5.0% in FY2021/22, accelerating slightly from a provisional growth estimate of 4.0% in FY21.
  • We expect the activity in the industrial sector to normalise but growth will likely be capped due to increased cost of input which will weigh on production.
  • Meanwhile
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Nepal's Current Account Deficit To Narrow In FY2021/22

Country Risk / Nepal / Fri 10 Dec, 2021

Key View

  • We expect Nepal’s current account deficit to come in at 7.8% of GDP in FY2021/22 (16 July 2021-15 July 2022), narrowing slightly from 8.1% in FY20/21.
  • While we expect export growth to outpace that of imports, the current account deficit remains elevated due to higher import value relative to exports alongside slower growth in
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Stronger Growth For Nepal In FY22

Country Risk / Nepal / Tue 07 Sep, 2021

Key View

  • We at Fitch Solutions forecast stronger real GDP growth of 5.0% for Nepal in FY22 (mid-July 2021 – mid-July 2022), up from 4.0% provisionally estimated for FY21.
  • We expect rising Covid-19 vaccination rates over the coming months to support an easing of restrictions in the Kathmandu Valley and also a more sustained and material
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Nepal Economy On A Gradual Recovery Path

Country Risk / Nepal / Tue 01 Jun, 2021

Key View

  • We at Fitch Solutions maintain our FY21 (mid-July 2020 – mid-July 2021) real GDP growth forecast for Nepal at 2.0% and forecast growth of 3.5% in FY22.
  • Although Nepal’s Covid-19 vaccination campaign will face delays from India’s vaccine export restrictions, a tourism rebound is FY22 should support the economy’s recovery, given the
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Nepal's Strong Growth To Hold Steady In FY2019/20

Country Risk / Nepal / Tue 15 Oct, 2019

Key View

  • We forecast Nepal’s real GDP growth to remain steady at 7.1% in FY2019/20 (mid-July – mid-July), from FY2018/19.
  • We expect growth to receive continued support from strong private and government consumption growth and robust gross fixed capital formation growth, although a large net exports drag will continue to partially offset
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Manufacturing, Construction, And Services To Drive Nepal's Growth

Country Risk / Nepal / Thu 09 Aug, 2018

Key View: Nepal's real GDP growth came in at 6.3% in FY2017/18 (July - July) and over the coming years, we expect growth to be driven by an expansion in the manufacturing, construction, and services sectors. This informs our upward revised growth forecasts of an average of 4.4% (from 2.4% previously) per annum over the next five years.

We are

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