Montenegro
In-depth country-focused analysis on Montenegro's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight

Our comprehensive assessment of Montenegro's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Montenegro, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Montenegro's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Montenegro before your competitors.

Country Risk

Montenegro Country Risk

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Core Views

  • Despite mounting domestic and foreign policy challenges, we expect Kosovo's grand coalition to overcome disagreements and hold together for the duration of its term ending in 2018. Integration within Western political and economic organisations will remain a common goal for the two coalition partners, underpinning their willingness to cooperate.

  • We remain sceptical that Kosovo's new coalition government's plans to reorient the economy from a consumption-driven model towards an investment-focused one will bear fruit any time soon. We expect the fragile political stability outlook for the country to keep investors at bay, hampering foreign direct investment inflows into Kosovo.

Key Risks To Outlook

  • Less favourable external economic conditions in 2015...

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Montenegro Industry Coverage (1)

Telecommunications

Montenegro Telecommunications

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BMI View : Despite being one of the smallest telecoms markets in the central and eastern European (CEE) region, Montenegro stands out for its high mobile penetration rate. This has led to several quarters of declining subscriptions, which we believe will lead to operators reviewing and changing their strategies. This can make it difficult to forecast subscriber growth as we see more of a change from prepaid focus to postpaid. Given the market's dynamics, we see little point in licensing a fourth operator as the government desires. As expected in a heavily mobile-centric market, fixed-line demand is in decline...

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