Our comprehensive assessment of Malawi's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Malawi, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Malawi's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Malawi before your competitors.
Malawi Industry Coverage (3)
BMI View: While poor affordability will continue to hurt the new car component of the market in 2016, first registrations of second hand cars are facing their own obstacles as increased import taxes begin to price consumers out of the market.
|Passenger Vehicles In A Weak Consumer Environment|
|Passenger Vehicle First Registrations|
|e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Source: National Statistical Office, BMI|
Total vehicle first registrations will grow 0.2% in 2016 to 22,370...
BMI View: The Q1 2016 East Africa report analyses the latest industry, regulatory and macroeconomic developments within the telecommunications markets in Burundi, Ethiopia, Malawi, Rwanda, South Sudan and Sudan. These six markets are characterised by several challenging business dynamics, including low consumer spending power, high infrastructure costs, large rural populations with poor access and, some cases, politically volatile environments. Limited competition in several of these markets, along with unfavourable fiscal regimes, creates considerable downside risks to market growth. 3G and 4G subscriber penetration rates, as well as their share of total mobile subscriber bases, are expected to remain among the lowest in the world for the foreseeable future.
|3G And 4G Subscribers to Increase Share of Total Mobile Market|
|East Africa Mobile Market Forecasts|
Latest Updates & Industry Developments
Based on data published by some of the operators for Q3 2015, we estimate that Malawi had 6.2mn mobile telephony subscribers at the end of 2015, up by 12.6% y-o-y and equivalent to a mobile penetration rate of almost 38%. In the five years to 2020, we now predict that Malawi's mobile market will grow to surpass 9.7mn mobile customers. 3G subscriptions are expected to grow from 19.8% of mobile subscriptions in 2015 to over 31% of the total market in 2020.
We estimate that Mozambique had 16.4mn mobile telephony subscribers at the end of 2015, up by 8.3% y-o-y and equivalent to a mobile penetration rate of 58.5%. We expect there to be almost 21mn mobile subscriptions and a...