Liberia

In-depth country-focused analysis on Liberia's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight

Liberia

Our comprehensive assessment of Liberia's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Liberia, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Liberia's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Liberia before your competitors.

Country Risk

Liberia Country Risk

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Core Views:

  • Sierra Leone's economy will undergo a real decline of 14.6% in 2015, due to the Ebola outbreak and its negative effects on activity. Growth will rebound at 6.4% in 2016.

  • The outbreak of Ebola will significantly weigh on growth, pushing back investment plans and reducing exports.

  • The country is enjoying increasing levels of political and social stability, continuing its recovery from its ruinous civil war, although the Ebola outbreak has increased risk of social and political unrest.

Key Risks To Outlook:

All of our near-term forecasts for Sierra Leone carry significant risk from the outbreak of Ebola which has been causing deaths in the West Africa region. Until the disease is contained, the outbreak will continue to weigh on exports and...

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Liberia Industry Coverage (2)

Mining

Liberia Mining

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BMI View: Over the coming quarters West Africa's growth outlook will be held down by continued mineral price weakness, inadequate infrastructure and the aftermath of the Ebola outbreak. The region's long-term growth outlook remains promising due to countries' vast untapped mineral reserves, positive foreign investment outlook and infrastructure developments.

  • Cote d'Ivoire - Cote d'Ivoire's gold production will experience solid growth due to new projects and low production cash costs. Cote d'Ivoire's main...

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Telecommunications

Liberia Telecommunications

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BMI View: Liberia ranks 35th out of 48 markets in Sub-Saharan Africa for mobile penetration, reaching just 56.4% at the end of 2014. We forecast slow growth in 2015 as the after effects of the Ebola crisis continue to play out. Consumer spending on mobile services dropped during 2014 as travel restrictions and the shrinking economy reduced the need for consumers to spend on mobile services. The market has continued growth potential, but we believe growth will be slower as operators seek to recoup investments after lower income during 2014 and 2015. Long-term demand for broadband services offers the potential for mobile operators to capitalise on their investments into next generation mobile infrastructure, leaving wireline services underdeveloped.

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