Kosovo

In-depth country-focused analysis on Kosovo's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight

Kosovo

Our comprehensive assessment of Kosovo's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Kosovo, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Kosovo's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Kosovo before your competitors.

Country Risk

Kosovo Country Risk

BMI View:

Core Views

  • Although Kosovo and Serbia reached an agreement in August over major issues that divide them, we expect deep seated nationalist sentiment on both sides to continue obstructing the implementation of the deal for the foreseeable future. In particular, the status of Kosovo's Serb-dominated region of Northern Mitrovica will remain a major source of resentment.

  • The Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) agreed between the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Kosovo in early June (which needs to be formally approved by the IMF Executive Board in July) is likely to have a destabilising effect on Kosovo's consumption-driven economic model. While the package, which is predicated on the implementation of structural reforms, aims to facilitate a shift in the economy towards an investment/export oriented model and away from its consumption...

Kosovo Industry Coverage (1)

Telecommunications

Kosovo Telecommunications

BMI View:

BMI View : The Kosovan telecommunications market offers few opportunities for prospective and existing investors alike. The wireline voice sector is small and the ageing infrastructure woefully under-utilised. Few alternative players have the means or the appetite to compete for a small user base. The mobile market is only a little more competitive, but with one MVNO having expired investors are advised to look elsewhere for growth opportunities. The wireline broadband market is more rounded, with a wider mix of players, yet there is really only one alternative player of note. The lack of consolidation in this fragmented market implies there is little value to be unlocked and plummeting mobile ARPUs indicate that consumer spending appetites are weak. Against this backdrop, there is the recurring problem of...

Latest Kosovo Articles

  • We have revised down our CME milk price forecast for 2016 and now see price...

  • We believe that there is currently disconnect between oil prices and fundam...

  • Price-elastic consumption growth and more limited growth in supply will mai...

Latest Kosovo Blogs

  • The political crisis in Macedonia merits considerable vigilance, for if the...

  • Geopolitical shocks are reasonably frequent occurrences, but most are mitig...

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