Kosovo

In-depth country-focused analysis on Kosovo's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight

Kosovo

Our comprehensive assessment of Kosovo's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Kosovo, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Kosovo's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Kosovo before your competitors.

Country Risk

Kosovo Country Risk

BMI View:

Core Views

  • Real GDP growth in Montenegro will recover gradually in the coming quarters, rebounding to 2.8% in 2016, from an estimated 1.9% in 2015, before expanding further to 3.2% in 2017. The rebound in aluminium, Montenegro's main export commodity will be supportive of growth, however, political instability, weak external demand and ongoing disputes over the ownership of the country's major aluminium plant will keep a lid on more pronounced pace of growth.

  • Montenegro's political scene will remain highly unstable ahead of autumn 2016 elections, as the main opposition Democratic Front continues to vigorously oppose the government's bid to gain membership of NATO. A possible referendum on the issue will also exacerbate domestic tensions.

Key Risks

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Kosovo Industry Coverage (1)

Telecommunications

Kosovo Telecommunications

BMI View:

BMI View : The Kosovan telecommunications market offers few opportunities for prospective and existing investors alike. The wireline voice sector is small and the ageing infrastructure woefully under-utilised. Few alternative players have the means or the appetite to compete for a small user base. The mobile market is only a little more competitive, but with one MVNO having expired investors are advised to look elsewhere for growth opportunities. The wireline broadband market is more rounded, with a wider mix of players, yet there is really only one alternative player of note. The lack of consolidation in this fragmented market implies there is little value to be unlocked and plummeting mobile ARPUs indicate that consumer spending appetites are weak. Against this backdrop, there is the recurring problem of...

Latest Kosovo Articles

  • With global growth continuing to stutter amid unconvincing growth performan...

  • A few key themes stand out when comparing BMI's forecasts against Bloomberg...

  • We have upgraded our oil price forecast this month with markets having pric...

Latest Kosovo Blogs

  • The political crisis in Macedonia merits considerable vigilance, for if the...

  • Geopolitical shocks are reasonably frequent occurrences, but most are mitig...

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