Our comprehensive assessment of Kosovo's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Kosovo, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Kosovo's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Kosovo before your competitors.
Kosovo Country Risk
Despite mounting domestic and foreign policy challenges, we expect Kosovo's grand coalition to overcome disagreements and hold together for the duration of its term ending in 2018. Integration within Western political and economic organisations will remain a common goal for the two coalition partners, underpinning their willingness to cooperate.
We remain sceptical that Kosovo's new coalition government's plans to reorient the economy from a consumption-driven model towards an investment-focused one will bear fruit any time soon. We expect the fragile political stability outlook for the country to keep investors at bay, hampering foreign direct investment inflows into Kosovo.
Key Risks To Outlook
Less favourable external economic conditions in 2015...
Kosovo Industry Coverage (1)
BMI View : The Kosovan telecommunications market remains considerably underdeveloped but offers only limited opportunities for companies willing to risk investing in the sector. Downside risks include the small but already highly penetrated mobile market, which yields fairly low average revenues per user (ARPUs). This could change once advanced mobile data and broadband services are rolled out but, with consumer spending power relatively weak even by regional standards, and with consumers clearly preferring low-cost prepaid services, moving to a premium service strategy poses considerable risks. The broadband market is similarly small but is highly fragmented, and is populated by a large number of very small locally-focused players. Just three major alternative operators are driving the market and their reluctance to acquire their smaller peers suggests they lack the incentive to turn to consolidation to boost their scale...