Our comprehensive assessment of Kosovo's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Kosovo, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Kosovo's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Kosovo before your competitors.
Kosovo Country Risk
The risk of social instability is rising in Kosovo as the government is on course to implement fiscal austerity measures as part of its forthcoming Stand-By Arrangement with the IMF. On the foreign policy arena, we highlight three main scenarios for Kosovo's relations with Serbia, all of which are likely to compound the deteriorating social stability scene to a different degree.
The Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) agreed between the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Kosovo in early June (which needs to be formally approved by the IMF Executive Board in July) is likely to have a destabilising effect on Kosovo's consumption-driven economic model. While the package, which is predicated on the implementation of structural reforms, aims to facilitate a shift in the economy towards an investment/export oriented model and away from its consumption...
Kosovo Industry Coverage (1)
BMI View : The Kosovan telecommunications market offers few opportunities for prospective and existing investors alike. The wireline voice sector is small and the ageing infrastructure woefully under-utilised. Few alternative players have the means or the appetite to compete for a small user base. The mobile market is only a little more competitive, but with one MVNO having expired investors are advised to look elsewhere for growth opportunities. The wireline broadband market is more rounded, with a wider mix of players, yet there is really only one alternative player of note. The lack of consolidation in this fragmented market implies there is little value to be unlocked and plummeting mobile ARPUs indicate that consumer spending appetites are weak. Against this backdrop, there is the recurring problem of...