Guyana

In-depth country-focused analysis on Guyana's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight

Guyana

Our comprehensive assessment of Guyana's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Guyana, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Guyana's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Guyana before your competitors.

Country Risk

Guyana Country Risk

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Core Views:

  • We believe that most of the English-speaking Caribbean will continue to see a modest economic recovery in the coming quarters as the US growth story begins to gain ground. That said, even with a modest acceleration in growth, those countries most reliant on tourism and financial services will continue to struggle, as we expect these industries are unlikely to return to pre-crisis levels in the foreseeable future. Indeed, while we expect that lower precious metals prices will prompt a weakening macroeconomic outlook for the region's miners, growth will still be stronger than in the predominantly tourism-driven countries.

  • Caribbean economies will continue to face economic headwinds in the coming years in light of rising debt burdens, fixed exchange rate regimes, and modest growth prospects. These factors, combined with our view that neither the tourism nor...

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Guyana Industry Coverage (1)

Tourism

Guyana Tourism

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BMI View: The ongoing economic uptick in the US will translate into rising departures to the Caribbean in 2015, with St Lucia, St Eustatius, the Cayman Islands and Cuba set to perform particularly well. We see particular opportunities in Cuba, with the US-Cuba diplomatic rapprochement boosting prospects for a relaxation of the bilateral tourist regime.

We forecast mixed fortunes for the Caribbean in 2015, with most islands seeing growth in tourist arrivals but a few registering declines. The latter include Barbados (0.6%), Bonaire (6.1%), the Dominican Republic (1.5%) and St Vincent (1.6%). We believe that these declines reflect the drop of 1.2% in arrivals from Europe in 2015, with these economies usually registering strong arrivals from Europe. However, overall the Caribbean will see a net increase in tourist arrivals in 2015, as improving consumer confidence in the US leads more US tourists to visit the region,...

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