In-depth country-focused analysis on Ethiopia's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight

Our comprehensive assessment of Ethiopia's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Ethiopia, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Ethiopia's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Ethiopia before your competitors.

Country Risk

Ethiopia Country Risk

Ethiopia Industry Coverage (3)


Ethiopia Agribusiness

BMI View:

BMI View: Production prospects look broadly favourable for the Ethiopian agriculture sector over the medium term. This will largely be due to more investment in the sector, along with higher incomes contributing to consumption growth. We believe the sugar sector has the most potential, as investments in new sugar refineries will make sugar one of the few reliable agricultural exports over the forecast period. We see relatively pedestrian output growth for Ethiopia's coffee sector, but see upside risks as we have revised up our medium-term coffee price forecasts. In terms of grains, the country's food security is expected to remain relatively stable over the short term even though corn production declined year-on-year in 2014/15 due...

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Ethiopia Infrastructure

BMI View:

BMI View: Ethiopia's construction and infrastructure industry delivered above expectations in 2013 with growth of 31% year on year (y-o-y). As a result, BMI's forecasts have been revised for 2014-2016 to reflect a much higher performance, with construction industry growth of 20.1% y-o-y expected in 2015. In the longer term, growth over the next decade will normalise to an average 11.6% between 2016 and 2023 as the government's focus on transport and energy continues to ...

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Ethiopia Telecommunications

BMI View:

BMI View: Our Q115 East Africa report analyses latest industry, regulatory and macroeconomic developments in the telecoms markets of Burundi, Ethiopia, Malawi, Rwanda, South Sudan and Sudan. The five markets are characterised by relatively low mobile penetration rates, partly due to a combination of low urbanisation and low spending power in rural areas to support a strong business case for network expansion to those areas. While this guarantees long-term subscriptions growth for mobile operators in these countries, we expect then to focus on data services and other non-voice services in the short-term to drive revenue growth.

Key Data

  • Average mobile market growth in the six countries in Q314 was 2.4%. South Sudan recorded the highest growth...

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