Cuba

In-depth country-focused analysis on Cuba's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight

Cuba

Our comprehensive assessment of Cuba's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Cuba, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Cuba's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Cuba before your competitors.

Country Risk

Cuba Country Risk

BMI View:

Core Views:

  • We believe that rising gold production, a gradually improving tourism sector, and stronger private consumption growth will drive robust real GDP growth rates in the Dominican Republic in the coming years.

  • We expect Puerto Rico to remain in a recession through fiscal year 2015 amid high unemployment and weak investment, and see a high likelihood of debt restructuring by the commonwealth's electric power authority (PREPA) this year.

  • We expect the Cuban economy to accelerate in the coming years, on the back of the government's drive to attract greater levels of investment, and on continued expansion of the consumer sector. This will help to offset weakness in the export sector, and rising demand for imports. 

Major Forecast Changes:

  • We...

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Cuba Country Risk

BMI View:

Core Views:

  • We believe that rising gold production, a gradually improving tourism sector, and stronger private consumption growth will drive robust real GDP growth rates in the Dominican Republic in the coming years.

  • We expect Puerto Rico to remain in a recession through fiscal year 2015 amid high unemployment and weak investment, and see a high likelihood of debt restructuring by the commonwealth's electric power authority (PREPA) in 2015.

  • An agreement struck between the US and Cuba involving the release of prisoners held on both sides is the first major diplomatic breakthrough in the diplomatic relationship between the two countries in generations, and will have far-reaching impacts with regards to the economic and political future of the island nation.

Major Forecast Changes...

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Cuba Industry Coverage (4)

Medical Devices

Cuba Medical Devices

BMI View:

BMI Industry View: The Cuban medical device market is the smallest in the Americas region and is projected to register the third lowest 2013-2018 CAGR in the region. The market is reliant on imports from mainly China and Europe. US suppliers cannot compete due to the US economic embargo but opportunities might exist in a post-embargo era. Imports were inflated between 2004 and 2008 as key diagnostic...

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Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare

Cuba Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare

Telecommunications

Cuba Telecommunications

BMI View:

BMI View: Our expectation for major changes in the Caribbean has already begun to play out, with the news that CWC will need to sell its 49% stake in operator Telecommunications Services of Trinidad and Tobago (TSTT). This means the market is looking at a significant shake-up, one of many that will take place in the region. The CWC acquisition of Columbus International will have a far-reaching regional impact in the broadband internet and pay-TV markets, which remain underdeveloped and ripe for growth and is already affecting regulatory environments in other markets. In response to the acquisition we expect acquisition...

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Tourism

Cuba Tourism

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