Our comprehensive assessment of Chad's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Chad, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Chad's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Chad before your competitors.
Chad Country Risk
Annual real GDP growth in Benin will average 5.0% between 2014 and 2023 as consumer spending increases and the country's political stability engenders elevated levels of fixed investment. Nevertheless, a sporadic electricity supply and reliance on cotton production will hold back the pace of economic development.
Benin's political landscape shows little sign of fragility, and will remain one of the most stable, open and accountable in West Africa in the years ahead, enjoined by a free press and a multitude of political parties. Nevertheless, the country faces challenges in the long term such as an overspill of violence from piracy and terrorist activity in the region, and the potential for tribal/ethnic schisms to open.
KEY RISKS TO OUTLK
Chad Industry Coverage (2)
Oil & Gas
Chad Oil & Gas
BMI View: New fields coming online, such as Glencore's and Caracal's Energy's Badila and Mangara, as well as China National Petroleum Corporations's (CNPC) new fields, will add upside to Chad's crude production for the next two years, but following that, the output will gradually decline. Despite Chad's proven oil reserves and growing domestic consumption, BMI believes the opaque regulatory environment, as well as periodic disputes between CNPC and the Chadian state, will be discouraging foreign investment in the sector. Nonetheless, Chad will remain a net exporter of oil products throughout our forecast period.
BMI View: Chad is one of Africa's most challenging markets for telecommunications investment and development. Mobile growth shows signs of deceleration and a challenging political environment will remain a key deterrent for foreign investment for upcoming years. Furthermore, the operators are likely to turn away from expanding into rural areas and rather focus on expanding their networks in cities to offer higher value data services. Two of the largest operators - Tigo and Airtel have started offering 4G services in Chad, but BMI believes that the uptake of data services will be slow. The wireline sector is a monopoly of the state-owned...