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BMI Analysis On The Ukraine And Libya Conflicts, Geopolitics Of 'Grexit', Al-Shabaab's Threat To The West, North Korea's Expanding Nuclear Arsenal, The UK General Election, And More…

Over the past week, Business Monitor Online has published analysis on several major geopolitical or political hot topics. Extracts are posted below; the full articles are available to subscribers. Ukraine: Emerging Conflict Scenarios: Escalation...

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What Next For Ukraine? Conflict Scenarios Assessed

Eastern Ukraine is extremely finely balanced between peace and an escalating conflict. The Minsk II ceasefire signed between Russia and Ukraine on February 12, 2015, was a positive step, but it is meaningless if the terms are not implemented....

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Oil Windfall Greatest In US And Asia

Cheaper oil prices are giving a boost to consumers and businesses across the world. However, variations in exchange rates mean that some countries are enjoying a bigger drop in oil prices than others. Latin America has generally seen the smallest...

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Greece: On A Knife Edge

Greece faces a tumultuous year. The election of the far-left Syriza party has raised questions over the country's ability to continue with its troika bailout, and ultimately, whether it will be able to remain in the eurozone. The outcome of the...

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BMI Publishes Nigeria Election Primer

Business Monitor International (BMI) has just published a comprehensive primer on the forthcoming general election in Nigeria on February 14, 2015. This is the second in a series of expanded election primers we will publish over the course of 2015...

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BMI Special Report: 10 Hidden Risks To The Global Economy

Most of the main risks to global economic and geopolitical stability are well known. These include a new crisis in the eurozone; a 'hard landing' in China; and a war involving the US and its allies against Iran. However, there are plenty of other...

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The Arab Spring, Four Years On: Seven Key Lessons

Four years after the start of the Arab Spring, the prospects for much of the Middle East and North Africa are decidedly gloomy. Admittedly, it was always unlikely that MENA states would make a smooth transition to liberal democracies after decades...

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Greece: Implications Of Syriza's Victory

Following yesterday's general election in Greece, the far-left Syriza party is to form a coalition government with the right-wing Independent Greeks party. Although the two parties have little in common, they are both committed to ending austerity...

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The ECB Goes Big: Implications

The European Central Bank (ECB) on January 22 unveiled a quantitative easing programme under which it will purchase a minimum of EUR1.1trn in securities. The ECB will purchase EUR60bn per month, which will include central government,...

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The Swiss Surprise

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) abandoned the CHF1.2000/EUR minimum exchange rate on the euro on January 15, and dropped the deposit rate to -0.75% from -0.25% and its 3-month LIBOR target range to -1.25% to -0.25% from -0.75% to 0.25% previously,...

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