Articles

Global Elections Round-Up: Last 12 Months

Country Risk / Global / Tue 31 Jul, 2018

In this article, we analyse presidential, legislative and select regional elections that have taken place across the world over the last 12 months. At the bottom of the article is a summary table with results of all the elections discussed listed in reverse order, with the most recent election first.

Asia

2018

Pakistan - July 25: Preliminary

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BRI To Continue Facing Significant Political Risks

Infrastructure / Global / Mon 30 Jul, 2018

Key View: Many of the largest or geopolitically strategic Belt and Road (BRI) markets are also subject to elevated political and economic risks that will pose challenges to project implementation and progression. We also highlight rising opposition to Chinese investment from political and public groups in several BRI markets. This will be

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Tightening Labour Markets Underpin Advanced Economy Consumption

Country Risk / Global / Fri 27 Jul, 2018

The ongoing tightening of labour markets across the largest advanced economies is one of the clearest trends highlighted in Fitch Ratings' latest 20/20 Vision chart pack and is helping to underpin consumer spending. 

Healthy job growth and declining unemployment in the US, eurozone and Japan is boosting household real incomes and helping to

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Infrastructure Investment Opportunities Emerging In Bhutan

Country Risk / Bhutan / Fri 27 Jul, 2018

We believe that logistics and air travel infrastructure in Bhutan will likely be attractive areas for foreign direct investment over the coming years. Our view is informed by the EU-Bhutan Trade Support Project and an improving tourist arrival outlook. This supports our forecast for real GDP growth to average 7.0% over the coming decade.

It is

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CDF: Gradual Depreciation Ahead

Country Risk / Congo, Dem. Rep. / Fri 27 Jul, 2018

Key View:

  • We expect that the Congolese franc will remain in a broad, depreciatory trend in both the short and the long term as political strife, negative real interest rates and monetary tightening in developed markets create downside pressure on the currency.
  • Depreciation will be much more gradual than in 2016 and 2017, however, as robust
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