Articles

Brighter Export Outlook Will Buoy Zambian Growth In 2024

Country Risk / Zambia / Tue 16 Jan, 2024

Key View

  • We forecast that Zambian real GDP growth will accelerate from an estimated 3.5% in 2023 to 4.8% in 2024.
  • While improving investor sentiment and higher copper prices will support fixed investment growth, elevated inflation and tight credit conditions will weigh on private consumption.
  • We forecast that in 2025, economic growth will
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Sri Lanka’s Recovery Will Gain Pace In 2024

Country Risk / Sri Lanka / Tue 16 Jan, 2024

Key View

  • Sri Lanka’s economy returned to growth in Q323, and we think that output will rise by 3.5% in real terms in 2024.
  • The recovery will be driven by rising household spending, a recovering tourism sector, and increasing investment spending.
  • While we think that growth will accelerate in 2024 and 2025, output per person will not recover
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