Articles

LVNAVs to Take Centre Stage Post-Reform

Banking & Financial Services / Europe / Thu 05 Jul, 2018

We expect low volatility net asset value (LVNAV) funds to be the largest European money fund segment once European money fund reforms are fully effective. Irrespective of the outcome of the recent regulatory discussion on LVNAVs denominated in euros, volumes in sterling and US dollar transitioning to this fund type will still make it the largest

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Risks to Global Growth Rise as Trade Tensions Escalate

Country Risk / Global / Tue 03 Jul, 2018

Increased trade tensions have raised the risk that new measures may be taken that would have a much greater impact on global economic growth than those enacted so far.

The US investigation into auto tariffs, possible additional US tariffs on Chinese imports, and the likely reactions of other countries and blocs, point to a potential serious

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Supras' Metrics Weaken as Loans Grow Faster than Capital

Country Risk / Global / Tue 03 Jul, 2018

Weakening capitalisation and profitability in recent years have started to challenge supranational institutions' credit profiles. We expect credit metrics to stabilise, but this will partly depend on shareholders' willingness to provide additional capital. 

The equity/total assets ratio of a sample of the major multilateral development banks (MDBs

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Depletion of Alaska's PF Earnings Reserve a Possibility

Country Risk / United States / Mon 02 Jul, 2018

Alaska's recent passage of the Permanent Fund (PF) Protection Act as a means for addressing ongoing projected budget gaps may result in the eventual depletion of the PF's Earnings Reserve (PFER). Avoiding that outcome will require more robust revenue growth than currently expected or other offsetting future state (Issuer Default Rating [IDR] 'AA'

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California Better Equipped for Next Recession

Country Risk / United States / Mon 02 Jul, 2018

There is a strong likelihood California's next governor will encounter recession, though the state is fundamentally better positioned to withstand the next inevitable economic downturn.

With Governor Jerry Brown's final budget now official and his second term nearing an end, California continues to benefit from strong economic growth in the midst

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