Articles

Greek GDP Growth To Accelerate In 2024 And 2025

Country Risk / Greece / Mon 25 Mar, 2024

Key View

  • Greek GDP expanded by 0.2% q-o-q in Q423, following its 0.1% contraction in Q323, bringing 2023 annual growth to 2.0 (BMI forecast: 1.9%). We have in turn lifted out 2024 growth forecast from 1.6% to 2.4%, as core drivers of growth outperformed our expectations.
  • Growth will be underpinned by an acceleration in private consumption
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BoE Set To Unwind QE By More Than Peers

Country Risk / United Kingdom / Fri 22 Mar, 2024

Key View

  • Major central banks were broadly in sync as they undertook quantitative easing (QE); however, the BoE is set to undertake a divergent path in reducing the size of its balance sheet, conducting quantitative tightening (QT) to a greater extent than its peers, including more outright bonds sales.
  • We expect that QT from the BoE will
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Faster Parallel Market Depreciation In Iran In 2024

Country Risk / Iran / Thu 21 Mar, 2024

Key View

  • The Iranian rial will depreciate more rapidly in 2024 compared to 2023 on the parallel market, influenced by heightened political risks from negative investor sentiment in Q1 2024 and uncertainties surrounding the upcoming US presidential election in November.
  • Conversely, the Nima exchange rate's depreciation will ease relative to
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