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April Global Economic Outlook

We forecast global real GDP growth of 3.0% in 2015, a rise from the 2012-2014 average of 2.7%. However, this improvement will come with significant differentiation between economies. Most major...

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False Dawn For Oil Prices

Oil prices look on the verge of a short-term rally, and a decisive push by Brent above USD65.00/bbl would suggest additional gains in the coming weeks. However, speculative positioning has...

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The Middle East At A Critical Juncture

The Middle East is at a critical juncture. The anticipated nuclear deal between Iran and the world's major powers could transform the region by bringing Iran closer to the US after 36 years of...

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Global Macroeconomic Themes (Update)

Here, we reiterate some of our key global macroeconomic themes, as outlined in a recent feature article in our online service. US To Outperform Other Developed States US Dollar Bull Market...

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Russia-NATO Baltic War Scenarios

BMI Research regularly carries out scenario analysis of 'low probability-high impact' events that fall outside our core forecasts, yet would be a tremendous shock to the international system if they...

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