Articles

Carillion Highlights Key Construction Sector Risks

Real Estate / United Kingdom / Wed 17 Jan, 2018

The collapse of UK construction company Carillion highlights the importance of contract risk management and of maintaining margins for companies in the European engineering and construction (E&C) sector, Fitch Ratings says. The sector is largely sub-investment grade, but investment-grade ratings are possible where both the business and balance

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Data Laws To Weigh On Mobile Wallet Growth

Telecommunications / India / Tue 16 Jan, 2018

Government KYC regulation and stricter data laws will impact mobile wallet usage, which is already showing signs of slowing. While government digital-ID efforts have done little to help and a continuous public preference for cash and distrust towards online payment systems present downsides to further growth, usage of the Unified Payments Interface

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Growth To Edge Higher On Foreign Investment

Country Risk / Iran / Wed 10 Jan, 2018

The Iranian economy will see growth accelerate over the quarters ahead, as European, Russian and Chinese commitment to improving relations with Tehran facilitate an uptick in investment. US primary sanctions, limited credit availability, and various structural impediments will nevertheless prevent a boom in the economy, particularly as hydrocarbon

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Global Rating Outlooks Most Positive Since Crisis

Operational Risk / Global / Mon 08 Jan, 2018

The prospect of rating upgrades outnumbering downgrades this year and next is higher than at any time since the financial crisis. But credit quality may start to weaken beyond this as ultra-supportive monetary policy is phased out and rising interest rates start to affect funding costs and asset quality. 

"The rating outlook trend is the most

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Growth Model Threatened By Declining Competitiveness

Country Risk / Hungary / Mon 08 Jan, 2018

Hungary's per capita GDP convergence with more developed economies in Western Europe will slow over the next decade relative to the pre-crisis period. Among the major headwinds dampening long-term growth prospects will be a shrinking labour force, low levels of capital investment, and weak productivity growth.

We expect the Hungarian economy to

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Five Key Themes In Asia Agribusiness

Agribusiness / Asia / Fri 22 Dec, 2017

Food security and environmental concerns are driving change in the Asian agribusiness sector, with biofuel mandates being increased and sustainable palm oil certification schemes being strengthened in Indonesia and Malaysia, while agricultural giants such as China and India modernise their production complexes by rationalising support policies and

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New Price Controls to Weigh on UK Water Ratings from 2019

Power / United Kingdom / Mon 18 Dec, 2017

The new price control methodology which will apply for water companies in England and Wales from April 2020 is credit-negative for the sector as it will increase both financial and business risks, Fitch Ratings says. The latest AMP proposals include the industry regulator's (Ofwat) early view of the much reduced cost of capital, reflecting the

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Key Themes For Infrastructure In 2018

Infrastructure / Global / Fri 15 Dec, 2017

BMI View: 2018 is expected to be a year of peak growth in the construction sector, and we expect dry ports to emerge as a new growth segment of the infrastructure market. Rising risks will emerge in 2018 that have the potential to slow the market, including widespread political risk and poor project development environments hindering Belt and Road

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