Articles

Czech Growth Remains On Track For Modest Rebound

Country Risk / Czech Republic / Tue 30 Apr, 2024

Key View

  • We maintain our forecast for Czech real GDP growth of 1.6% in 2024, following the Q1 2024 GDP growth rate of 0.5% q-o-q, which was only marginally below our expectation of 0.6%.
  • After a sharp 3.1% contraction in 2023, we forecast Czech private consumption to rebound by a modest 1.9% in 2024 as spending is bolstered by a recovery in real
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Russia 2024 Consumer Outlook: Resilient Consumer Market Feeds Into Consumer Confidence And Retail Sales

Consumer & Retail / Russia / Tue 30 Apr, 2024

Key View: Despite surpassing growth forecasts, the Russian economy faces challenges from sanctions and industrial shifts. The Ukraine conflict is entering a static phase, with a centralized political system likely keeping policy changes minimal. The Central Bank may hold interest rates steady, while consumer spending growth remains modest due to

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Political Uncertainty In Spain Rises Despite PM Staying Put

Political Risk / Spain / Mon 29 Apr, 2024

Key View

  • On April 29, Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez announced that he will remain in office after halting duties on April 24 amid a corruption scandal allegedly involving his wife. 
  • The decision to retain his position alleviates some immediate pressures on political risk. 
  • However, we believe that the event reflects the broader fractured nature
Read More
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