Articles

Ongoing Agricultural Reforms To Support Long-Term Sector Growth

Agribusiness / India / Tue 25 Apr, 2017

The outlook for India's agribusiness sector is positive for the 2017/18 season, amidst early forecasts for normal monsoon rainfall this year. In the longer term, ongoing reforms to the agricultural sector will support slow yield improvement. After a weak start for investment in agriculture at the beginning of his mandate, Narendra Modi has enacted

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Global Solar Power Forecasts: US To Drive Global Capacity Growth

Renewables / Global / Mon 24 Apr, 2017

The US will be the global outperformer in terms of solar capacity additions over the coming decade due to favourable support mechanisms for the sector, comprising almost a third of the global total between 2016 and 2026. Asia will remain the largest regional solar market globally, with China and India being notable outperformers in terms of

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No Obvious Target For Mobile Consolidation

Telecommunications / Panama / Thu 20 Apr, 2017

We do not expect that the proposed legislation easing mergers will lead to immediate consolidation in Panama's mobile market as the four players currently present are aware of the market's strong opportunities. It will require an exceptionally good offer and worsening situations in other parts of their footprint for an operator to decide to sell.

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Magma Geothermal To Reinvigorate Power Export Plans

Renewables / Iceland / Thu 20 Apr, 2017

Advances in technology that enable geothermal energy to be produced from magma would boost Iceland's geothermal industry significantly and open up resources for exploitation. A substantial ramp-up in domestic geothermal capacity would likely reinvigorate Iceland's plan to export excess power generation to the UK; however, we believe ongoing Brexit

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Carcara Divestment Delay Highlights Above-Ground Threats

Oil & Gas / Brazil / Wed 19 Apr, 2017

On April 17, a Brazilian court ordered Brazilian national oil company (NOC) Petrobras to suspend its sale of a 66.0% stake of the BM-S-8 deepwater license in the Carcara exploratory block to Statoil. Originally announced in July 2016, the USD2.5bn transaction has been suspended on the grounds that the NOC did not conduct the required open bidding

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Flipkart-eBay India Deal Just The Start of e-Commerce Expansion

Country Risk / India / Tue 18 Apr, 2017

Flipkart's acquisition of eBay India highlights two key aspects of doing business in the country's fast-growing but highly challenging e-commerce market. Firstly, returns on investment will be elusive, even in the long-term, due to the low-value capital-intensive nature of the Indian market. Secondly, consolidation in the short term will not starve

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East African Breweries Facing Major Kenya Challenge

Consumer & Retail / Kenya / Mon 17 Apr, 2017

Our Africa team expects the Kenyan economy to grow by 5.7% in 2014, with growth forecast to average more than 6% thereafter over the forecast period to 2023. We expect this outlook to drive growth in the food and drink sector, where Kenya has a number of very well-established companies, none more so than East African Breweries (EABL) - a unit of

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Six Sectors To Watch In The Middle East And North Africa

Country Risk / Middle East / Tue 11 Apr, 2017

Several sectors in the Middle East and North Africa region are set for particularly impressive growth, despite generally slower economic activity in the region over the next decade compared to the last. A survey of our industry research heads highlighted six hotspots including: UAE infrastructure and pharmaceuticals & healthcare, Iran luxury retail

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Bullish Brent On Demand, Cautious WTI On Supply

Oil & Gas / Global / Tue 04 Apr, 2017

We hold to our 2017 annual average forecast for Brent of USD57.00/bbl as we expect seasonally firming demand for crude and fuels in Q2 and Q3 to drive down inventories and offer support to prices. Price upside will however be capped by the recovering US shale sector and softer OPEC compliance over Q3. We have downgraded 2017 WTI to USD53.75/bbl, as

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