Defence & Security Blogs

Russia-NATO Baltic War Scenarios

BMI Research regularly carries out scenario analysis of 'low probability-high impact' events that fall outside our core forecasts, yet would be a tremendous shock to the international system if they...

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What If Russia Invades Ukraine?

Latest developments in the Eastern Ukrainian city of Donetsk, where pro-Russian protestors are demanding a referendum on secession, raise the possibility of Russian military intervention. The interim...

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Will Russia Attack Ukraine?

In line with many observers, we do not expect Russia to invade Ukraine. However, we cannot completely rule out some form of military action by Russia, if the tense situation between Ukrainians and...

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