Articles

Sun Will Face Uphill Struggle To Return To Growth

Pharma & Healthcare / India / Wed 23 Aug, 2017

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries will face an uphill struggle in its new fiscal year to return to sales growth, and of particular concern will be the net loss recorded in Q118. Issues in both India and the US, the firm's two largest markets, have hampered Sun, but the situation in the US is especially pressing. Revitalising its presence in the US will

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Emerging Markets Key Themes Q&A

Country Risk / Global / Wed 23 Aug, 2017

BMI Research recently held a webinar in which we presented our Emerging Markets Key Themes. Here, we outline our answers to some of the frequently asked questions that came up in the Q&A session.

What do you expect to happen at the upcoming congress of the Communist Party of China?

For context, the Communist Party of China (CPC) holds a congress

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Week Ahead: India GDP Figures To Show Slight Recovery

Country Risk / India / Sun 20 Aug, 2017

India will be releasing its GDP figures this week and we expect to see a gradual recovery following the demonetisation shock. The Bank of Korea (BoK) will be holding its monetary policy meeting, and we expect the central bank to maintain its monetary policy stance in a bid to provide stability as tensions on the Korean peninsula remain high. Lastly

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Upgrading Growth As Economic Outlook Improves

Country Risk / Malaysia / Sat 19 Aug, 2017

BMI View: Malaysia's economy grew by 5.8% y-o-y in Q217, bringing H117 growth to 5.7%. Continued strong demand for electronics will bode well for exports while higher oil prices will be supportive of overall growth. In addition, the increase in election-related spending will provide a boost to headline GDP growth, while domestic demand is likely to

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Korea Conflict Scenario: Assessing Global Economic Implications

Country Risk / Global / Thu 17 Aug, 2017

This scenario assumes that conflict breaks out between the two Koreas, either because the US launches a strike on North Korea's nuclear facilities, prompting Pyongyang to retaliate against the South, and potentially Japan, too, or because the North, fearing a US strike, decides to go to war pre-emptively.

As the conflict begins, the North launches

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Growing Prevalence Of Political Risk In Autos

Autos / Global / Thu 17 Aug, 2017

The autos sector is dealing with heightened levels of political risk in several key markets at the moment and it is manifesting itself in various ways: from the industry's relationship with a country's administration to dealing with the risk of international conflict. Here we look at some of the most prominent examples of political risk in the

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Austerity To Take Its Toll On Growth

Country Risk / Bahrain / Wed 16 Aug, 2017

Economic growth will slow in Bahrain over the coming quarters as fiscal consolidation measures negatively impact investment and consumption. The infrastructure sector will remain a key driver of real GDP expansion, propped up by large-scale investments from fellow GCC states.

We expect real GDP growth in Bahrain to decelerate from 3.0% in 2016 to

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