Articles

Retail Sales Watch: Mexico Sales Surprises To The Downside

Consumer & Retail / Mexico / Thu 21 Mar, 2024

The Latest: On March 21 2024, Mexico's statistical agency, Instituto Nacional de Estadística Geografía e Informática, published their retail sales data, showing real retail sales volumes contracting -0.9% y-o-y over January 2024, the first month of contraction in retail sales since the pandemic-induced contraction over Q1 2024. 

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Faster Parallel Market Depreciation In Iran In 2024

Country Risk / Iran / Thu 21 Mar, 2024

Key View

  • The Iranian rial will depreciate more rapidly in 2024 compared to 2023 on the parallel market, influenced by heightened political risks from negative investor sentiment in Q1 2024 and uncertainties surrounding the upcoming US presidential election in November.
  • Conversely, the Nima exchange rate's depreciation will ease relative to
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Turkiye's Growing Gas Demand Depends On Import Reliance

Oil & Gas / Wed 20 Mar, 2024

Key View

  • Turkiye's domestic gas demand is poised for robust growth throughout our forecast period, bolstered by the completion of the Sakarya gas field, which will enhance expansion by reducing reliance on energy imports.
  • Turkiye remains heavily dependent on energy imports which comes with a substantial financial burden and exposure to the
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India: Domestic Tensions May Rise Under Third Modi Term

Country Risk / India / Wed 20 Mar, 2024

Key View

  • We still think the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party will handily win the Lok Sabha elections which will kick off on April 19.
  • Reform prospects would remain mixed under a prospective third Modi government.
  • The BJP’s preference for religious appeals risks inflaming sectarian tensions, which could derail India’s rise as an investment
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