Articles

Crude Woes Continue

Mining / Angola / Sun 25 Jun, 2017

Angola's short term production downgrade reflects the higher decline rates at producing fields, leaving Angola producing below its allocated OPEC quota. The start up of Kaombo in 2018 will help support production, but a serious lack of investment stemming from weak market conditions and a poor operating environment limits Angola's long term

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Construction Shielded From Diplomatic Rift For Now

Infrastructure / Middle East / Sat 24 Jun, 2017

We have elected to maintain our robust growth outlook for the Qatari construction industry in 2017 even as the diplomatic rift between Qatar and its Gulf neighbours disrupts the import of goods into the market. Our view is underpinned by the government's effort to secure its building materials supply chain for at least two months and our view that

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MENA Edging From Oil To Gas

Oil & Gas / Middle East / Fri 23 Jun, 2017

We forecast substantial production gains the MENA region, with broadly level growth in both oil and gas. On the consumption side, increasing domestic supply and state-led support for oil-to-gas switching in the power sector will see gas consumption growth outstrip growth in demand for fuels.

To highlight the key themes that inform our Middle East

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Monthly Market Strategy: The Case For Cash

Banking & Financial Services / Global / Fri 23 Jun, 2017

With interest rates at or close to record lows in most DM countries,it may seem like cash is the worst possible investment, but we believe that there is a strong case to be made from a risk-reward perspective. The ultra-loose monetary conditions that have been in placeforover most of the past decade have pushed risk assets to the point where the

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Soybean: Forecasts Revised Lower But Uptrend Maintained

Commodities / Global / Thu 22 Jun, 2017

We have revised our soybean price forecasts downward, but still expect prices to average slightly higher than spot levels in the coming years. The global soybean market will register small deficits as global demand growth, led by China, remains steady. By contrast, supply growth will slow due to reduced growth in plantings and yields.

Short-Term

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Mining Charter A Further Headwind To Investor Sentiment

Mining / South Africa / Thu 22 Jun, 2017

South Africa's recently published revisions to its mining charter will undermine already weak investment, offering further headwinds to the economic growth outlook. Aside from the direct headwinds to the mining sector due to a higher cost of compliance, the new charter further signals that the ruling African National Congress is moving ahead with

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Oil Recovery Will Unlock Moderate Growth

Oil & Gas / Nigeria / Thu 22 Jun, 2017

Despite weak Q1 data leading us to revise down our growth forecasts in 2017, we maintain a broadly constructive outlook on prospects for Nigeria's economic recovery over the coming quarters. In addition to increasing oil output, an improvement in FX liquidity will boost investor sentiment.

Nigeria's economy will post a modest recovery over our

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Challenges Persist In Walmart's International Operations

Consumer & Retail / Global / Wed 21 Jun, 2017

Walmart faces ongoing challenges in its international operations. We review the company's shifting strategy in China, the ongoing risks in Latin America and the potential for Walmart to expand in Sub-Saharan Africa.

Walmart's international operations accounted for 24.1% of sales and reached USD116.1bn in FY2016. Walmart has seen this percentage

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