Articles

Supras' Metrics Weaken as Loans Grow Faster than Capital

Country Risk / Global / Tue 03 Jul, 2018

Weakening capitalisation and profitability in recent years have started to challenge supranational institutions' credit profiles. We expect credit metrics to stabilise, but this will partly depend on shareholders' willingness to provide additional capital. 

The equity/total assets ratio of a sample of the major multilateral development banks (MDBs

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Risks to Global Growth Rise as Trade Tensions Escalate

Country Risk / Global / Tue 03 Jul, 2018

Increased trade tensions have raised the risk that new measures may be taken that would have a much greater impact on global economic growth than those enacted so far.

The US investigation into auto tariffs, possible additional US tariffs on Chinese imports, and the likely reactions of other countries and blocs, point to a potential serious

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Depletion of Alaska's PF Earnings Reserve a Possibility

Country Risk / United States / Mon 02 Jul, 2018

Alaska's recent passage of the Permanent Fund (PF) Protection Act as a means for addressing ongoing projected budget gaps may result in the eventual depletion of the PF's Earnings Reserve (PFER). Avoiding that outcome will require more robust revenue growth than currently expected or other offsetting future state (Issuer Default Rating [IDR] 'AA'

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California Better Equipped for Next Recession

Country Risk / United States / Mon 02 Jul, 2018

There is a strong likelihood California's next governor will encounter recession, though the state is fundamentally better positioned to withstand the next inevitable economic downturn.

With Governor Jerry Brown's final budget now official and his second term nearing an end, California continues to benefit from strong economic growth in the midst

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U.S. Healthcare Defaults Expected to Remain Low Despite Headwinds Hitting Profits

Banking & Financial Services / United States / Fri 29 Jun, 2018

Despite U.S. healthcare defaults at a 16-year low, profits of some issuers are challenged.

"Payor consolidation and increasing scrutiny of both high cost drugs and care delivery settings are hurting healthcare profits," said Megan Neuburger, Managing Director. "Acute care hospitals and pharmaceutical manufacturers are most at risk."

Default rates

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Bank of Japan Asset Purchases Continue to Slow Sharply

Country Risk / Japan / Tue 26 Jun, 2018

The pace of asset purchases by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) has continued to slow sharply in 2018 to an annual rate of around JPY45 trillion (USD410 billion) despite the official commitment to annual purchases of around JPY80 trillion. 

While BOJ monetary policy remains extremely accommodative and the scale of asset purchases is still large, this

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