Articles

Severe Downside Risks To South Sudan Despite Peace Deal

Operational Risk / Sudan / Tue 10 Jul, 2018

Key View:

  • Despite the signing of a peace deal between South Sudan's President Salva Kiir Mayardit and rebel leader Riek Machar, we believe that South Sudan's political environment will likely remain highly unstable.
  • The lack of approval for the peace deal from the rest of Machar's party will likely see tensions remain sustained in the short
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Saudi Arabia Unlikely To Sacrifice Spare Oil Capacity

Oil & Gas / Saudi Arabia / Mon 09 Jul, 2018

Key View: Questions are being asked as to the extent to which Saudi Arabia will increase its production, to offset shortfalls elsewhere in the market. We believe that while a large volume of barrels will be returned over the coming months - likely upwards of 1mn b/d - the kingdom will be reluctant to exhaust its substantial spare capacity.

  • The
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Quick View: Saudi Demands Threaten Continued GCC Unity

Country Risk / Middle East / Mon 09 Jul, 2018

The Latest: On Friday June 23, Saudi Arabia and its allies in the ongoing diplomatic spat with Qatar - namely the UAE, Egypt and Bahrain - delivered a list of 13 demands to the country. This came nearly three weeks after Saudi Arabia and its allies cut off ties with Qatar and closed their borders, ports and airspace to the country. Many of the

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LVNAVs to Take Centre Stage Post-Reform

Banking & Financial Services / Europe / Thu 05 Jul, 2018

We expect low volatility net asset value (LVNAV) funds to be the largest European money fund segment once European money fund reforms are fully effective. Irrespective of the outcome of the recent regulatory discussion on LVNAVs denominated in euros, volumes in sterling and US dollar transitioning to this fund type will still make it the largest

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