Articles

Breakthrough In Kosovan-Serbian Relations Still A Way Off

Country Risk / Serbia / Tue 31 Jul, 2018

Key View: We believe that bilateral relations between Kosovo and Serbia will remain cool over the coming years as they continue to hold fundamentally different views regarding the sovereignty of Kosovo. Kosovo is likely to strongly reject any ideas that would seek to divide the country, which will therefore keep the country's short- and long-term

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BRI To Continue Facing Significant Political Risks

Infrastructure / Global / Mon 30 Jul, 2018

Key View: Many of the largest or geopolitically strategic Belt and Road (BRI) markets are also subject to elevated political and economic risks that will pose challenges to project implementation and progression. We also highlight rising opposition to Chinese investment from political and public groups in several BRI markets. This will be

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Rwanda Growth Set To Continue Over The Next Two Years

Country Risk / Rwanda / Fri 27 Jul, 2018

  • After rebounding in the last quarter of 2017, Rwanda's economic growth is set to continue to accelerate over the next two years, mainly due to an expansion in services and agriculture.
  • Moreover, increased government-led investment in key infrastructure projects focused on addressing the country's energy and transportation shortcomings will
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Growth Uptick Supports Thailand Consumption Rebound

Country Risk / Thailand / Fri 27 Jul, 2018

Thailand's consumer spending will see an uptick in 2018, driven by an upward revision in GDP forecast. Existing favourable conditions of low unemployment, rising incomes and high frequency indicators pointing to the strength of the consumer will support our bright consumer outlook for Thailand.

  • Within our consumer spending sub-segments, we note
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Russia Eyeing A Budget Surplus In 2018

Country Risk / Russia / Fri 27 Jul, 2018

  • Russia to post budget surplus in 2018 and 2019.
  • Putin's 2018 May Decrees will shape the country's budget strategy over the coming years, underpinning reform momentum in the fiscal sector and increased borrowing.

Forecast Change:

  • We have revised our budget balance forecasts for Russia to reflect higher than anticipated revenues alongside
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Tightening Labour Markets Underpin Advanced Economy Consumption

Country Risk / Global / Fri 27 Jul, 2018

The ongoing tightening of labour markets across the largest advanced economies is one of the clearest trends highlighted in Fitch Ratings' latest 20/20 Vision chart pack and is helping to underpin consumer spending. 

Healthy job growth and declining unemployment in the US, eurozone and Japan is boosting household real incomes and helping to

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