Articles

Growth In Sri Lanka Will Accelerate In 2024, 2025

Country Risk / Sri Lanka / Thu 02 May, 2024

Key View

  • Sri Lanka’s economy returned to growth in Q323, and we think that output will rise by 4.0% in real terms in 2024. We have revised this forecast upwards following strong activity data in Q1 2024. 
  • The recovery will be driven by rising household spending, increased manufacturing output, and a recovering tourism sector. 
  • While we think that
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Mexico 2024 Consumer Outlook: Buoyant Growth Aided By Labour Market Tightness And Cooler Inflation

Consumer & Retail / Mexico / Thu 02 May, 2024

Key View: In 2024, we expect Mexican consumer spending to slow but remain positive, driven by easing inflation, reduced interest rates, and a resilient labor market. Consumer confidence is at a post-Covid high, underpinning solid spending above pre-pandemic levels, despite signs of stagnation in retail sales growth. Slight increases in unemployment

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Icelandic Economy To Cool But Volcanic Risks Persist

Country Risk / Iceland / Wed 01 May, 2024

Key View

  • We anticipate that Iceland's economy will expand by 1.5% in 2024, a slight decrease from our previous forecast of 2.0%, and by 3.1% in 2025 (previous forecast: 2.6%). 
  • Whilst disinflation will support an expansion in real wages this year, the private consumption outlook will continue to be weighed down by tight monetary conditions for some
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Spanish Growth To Remain Robust In 2024 As Consumption Picks Up

Country Risk / Spain / Wed 01 May, 2024

Key View

  • We have revised up our 2024 GDP forecast for the Spanish economy as private consumption is likely to perform somewhat better than we had anticipated in 2024 and our outlook on Spain’s industry has improved. We now expect the Spanish economy to expand by 2.2% in 2024 (previously 1.5%) after 2.5% growth in 2023.
  • We remain of the view that
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