Articles

Reserve Bank of Australia To Loosen In H2 2024

Country Risk / Australia / Mon 19 Feb, 2024

Key View 

  • We maintain our view that the cash rate has reached its peak at a terminal rate of 4.35%.  
  • Despite easing over the past year, headline inflation remains above the RBA's 2%-3% target at 4.1% y-o-y in Q4 2023, meaning the RBA is unlikely to cut in the near term.  
  • We think the RBA will only start easing in H2 2024, lowering the
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Malaysia's Economy To Accelerate In 2024

Country Risk / Malaysia / Fri 16 Feb, 2024

Key View

  • The Malaysian economy underperformed our 3.9% growth forecast for 2023, expanding by a modest 3.7%, indicating a softer growth momentum than initially expected. 
  • While we anticipate that the recovery in the coming quarters will be uneven amid tepid global demand, resilient investment activity and a tight labour market should boost
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Government-Led Investments To Drive Uzbek Growth In 2024

Country Risk / Uzbekistan / Thu 15 Feb, 2024

Key View

  • We forecast a slight deceleration in Uzbekistan’s growth from 6.0% in 2023 to 5.6% in 2024. 
  • The main drivers of growth in 2024 will be increased industrial production and capital investment, supported by international financial institutions.
  • Despite a strong performance in foreign trade, net exports will not contribute to
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