World's 'Pivotal' States Preparing For Major Tests

Business Monitor International (BMI) has just published a feature article outlining our views on the world's so called 'pivotal' states. The feature is available to subscribers at Business Monitor Online.

These 'pivotal' states are basically middle-ranked countries in which any transformation of their polity or behaviour could have a profound and lasting impact on their region, and possibly the wider world. Pivotal states draw their importance from a combination of their large populations, economic influence, military power, key geographical location, cultural reach, or commodity resources. Although definitions of pivotal states vary, BMI has in recent years identified a list of fourteen such countries.

In 2014, five of the fourteen pivotal states – Brazil, Egypt, Indonesia, South Africa, and Turkey – will hold national elections of some sort, while a sixth – Nigeria – will be gearing up for general elections in 2015. Meanwhile, Iran – arguably one of the most crucial of the pivotal states – will face a major test this year of whether it can end 35 years of hostility towards the US and reach a lasting rapprochement with the West. The Korean Peninsula, too, could face major challenges, amid signs of a power struggle in the North. Elsewhere, Ukraine, which is a geopolitical swing state in western Eurasia, faces the prospects of ongoing anti-government demonstrations that could topple pro-Russian President Viktor Yanukovych.

This blog is tagged to:
Sector: Country Risk
Geography: North Korea, Ukraine, Iran
Tags: pivotal states, political risk, Emerging Markets, Iran, Korea, Ukraine, Turkey, Geopolitics

Related products in our Store...

Check out our most popular reports below or view more in our store

Access all of our latest analysis, data and forecasts - request a trial