September Will Be A Busy Month For Politics
September is shaping up to be a very busy month for politics. Aside from the very strong likelihood of a US military strike on Syria, there are several important elections taking place this month.
On Saturday, September 7, Australia will hold a general election, in which Prime Minister Kevin Rudd and his Labor Party face defeat.
On Sunday, September 8, the city of Moscow and many regions within Russia will hold elections. Incumbent Moscow mayor Sergei Sobyanin is expected to win overwhelmingly, and there is speculation that he may eventually succeed President Vladimir Putin. His main rival is Alexei Navalny, who has emerged as one of Putin's most vocal critics.
On Monday, September 9, Norway will hold elections, which the centre-right opposition looks set to win.
The big election to watch is Germany's federal election, which will take place on September 22. Chancellor Angela Merkel will almost certainly retain her position, so the real question is whether her Christian Democratic Party (CDU)'s coalition partner after the vote will be the Free Democrats (as is currently the case) or the opposition Social Democrats in a grand coalition.
A week later, on September 29, Austria will hold its general election. We expect the ruling grand coalition between the Social Democratic Party (SPO) and the Austrian People's Party (OVP) to retain power, although there is some uncertainty as to whether the relative positions of the two coalition partners will switch after the election.
Aside from the above mentioned countries, several African nations, including Cameroon, Guinea, and Rwanda, are scheduled to hold elections this month.
Analysis of these key political events will be available to subscribers at Business Monitor Online.