Articles

Turkish Growth To Begin Slowing In Upcoming Quarters As Headwinds Mount

Country Risk / Fri 31 May, 2024

Key View 

  • Following growth of 5.7% y-o-y in Q1 2024 which was an acceleration from 4.0% in Q4 2023, we expect the Turkish economy to move onto a slower growth path over the next several quarters. 
  • Due to the strong performance in Q1 2024, we have had to revise up our full-year growth view for 2024 from 0.6% to 2.7% but this is still a notable slowing
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Trump’s Conviction Prolongs US Election Uncertainty

Political Risk / United States / Fri 31 May, 2024

Key View

  • The conviction of former US president Donald Trump for 34 counts of felony is likely to prolong uncertainty in an already highly uncertain presidential campaign.
  • Trump will be sentenced on July 11 but is unlikely to be imprisoned on that date, although the conviction and sentencing could weaken his support among some swing voters.
  • In the
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Green Policy In Slovenia To Remain Divisive

Political Risk / Slovenia / Thu 30 May, 2024

Key View

  • We expect environmental policy to continue causing political divisions in Slovenia.
  • Climate-friendly heating will remain a wedge issue in Slovenia’s green transition.
  • This comes alongside concern that the cost of Slovenia’s green transition could be high due to the policy’s structural features.

With the European parliamentary elections

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