South Africa Election Contrarian View: Implications Of An ANC Coalition With The EFF Or DA
Country Risk / South Africa / Thu 25 Apr, 2024
Key View
- Our core view remains that the ANC will form a coalition with smaller parties. However, in this article we outline two contrarian views which are likely if the ANC’s vote share falls to 40% or below. These scenarios are an ANC-EFF coalition and an ANC-DA coalition.
- Over the course of 2024 and 2025, an ANC-EFF coalition would likely result in