Articles

Zimbabwe Election Results: Initial Thoughts

Operational Risk / Zimbabwe / Fri 03 Aug, 2018

While ZANU-PF (Zimbabwe African National Union- Patriotic Front) appears to have won Zimbabwe's July 30 legislative election, the presidential election results have yet to be released, heightening uncertainty and unrest across the country.

  • With both President Emmerson Mnangagwa (ZANU-PF) and Nelson Chamisa - leader of the main opposition
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Quick View: Interest In 5G Spectrum To Be Subdued

Telecommunications / India / Fri 03 Aug, 2018

Key View:

  • Financial pressures will make any bid for 5G spectrum difficult in the short-term.
  • Acquisition of spare 3G and 4G spectrum is likely in order to cope with rising data traffic.
     

The Latest:

The Telecommunications Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) has suggested that all spectrum within the 3300-3600MHz range be made available

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Radical Land Reform Unlikely In South Africa, But Recent Rhetoric Will Dent Investor Confidence

Operational Risk / South Africa / Fri 03 Aug, 2018

The Latest: On July 31 President Cyril Ramaphosa announced a decision to push ahead with a constitutional amendment allowing for the expropriation of land without compensation in South Africa. This followed a two day meeting of the ruling ANC's top decision making body, the National Executive Committee. According to his statement, it had become

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The Future Of NATO: Four Scenarios For The Coming Decade

Country Risk / Global / Thu 02 Aug, 2018

Key View: The NATO alliance is likely to remain intact with only minor expansion over the coming decade, as bureaucratic inertia prevents a dramatic reconfiguration of the organisation. Nonetheless, NATO faces downside risks to its cohesion and effectiveness, owing to diverging threat perceptions of its member states, and low levels of defence

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CEE: Where Is China Investing?

Infrastructure / China / Wed 01 Aug, 2018

Key View:

  • China will continue to deepen its investment presence in the infrastructure markets of Central and Eastern Europe in service of its broader aim of increasing logistical connectivity throughout Eurasia.
  • As such, we expect that China will maintain its investment focus on sectors that encourage cross-border mobility, such as transport
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Breakthrough In Kosovan-Serbian Relations Still A Way Off

Country Risk / Serbia / Tue 31 Jul, 2018

Key View: We believe that bilateral relations between Kosovo and Serbia will remain cool over the coming years as they continue to hold fundamentally different views regarding the sovereignty of Kosovo. Kosovo is likely to strongly reject any ideas that would seek to divide the country, which will therefore keep the country's short- and long-term

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