Articles

Singapore Seeking To Position Itself As A Two-Way LNG Trader

Oil & Gas / Singapore / Mon 20 May, 2024

Key View

  • Singapore's LNG imports are set to rise as the country prepares to build a second import terminal.
  • LNG demand is set to grow further in 2024 and beyond as Singapore’s government seeks to achieve carbon emission reduction targets.
  • LNG bunker sales in the short term are expected to grow faster compared to other sectors.
  • Given its well
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Russia’s War Economy Stays On Course But Slowing Still Likely

Country Risk / Russia / Mon 20 May, 2024

Key View 

  • We have raised our real GDP growth forecast for Russia from 2.9% in 2024 to 3.4%. This would mean that compared to 2023, the economy will now only be slowing modestly from 3.6%. 
  • Our new forecast follows the solid performance of the economy in Q124 when it outperformed expectations and grew by 5.4% year-on-year. 
  • Risks to this view are
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Improving Hydropower Supply To Improve Public Satisfaction And Economic Activity In Tanzania

Political Risk / Tanzania / Fri 17 May, 2024

Key View

  • Higher levels of rainfall between October 2023 and May 2024 have bolstered the country’s power supply, which will reduce the risks of further power outages, improve public sentiment and support economic activity over the coming quarters.
  • That said, the end of Tanzania’s rainy season will reduce the number of flood-related casualties and ease
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Botswana 2024 Consumer Outlook: Positive View Bolstered By Economic Growth And Cooler Inflation

Consumer & Retail / Botswana / Fri 17 May, 2024

Key View: Our 2024 outlook for consumer spending in Botswana is positive. We expect spending to increase over 2024 albeit at a slower rate compared with 2023. Spending growth will be bolstered by an uptick in economic growth and easing inflationary pressures. The most recent high frequency data indicates that consumer spending continued to increase

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Brazil: Severe Floods Clouding What Had Been A Bright Outlook

Country Risk / Brazil / Fri 17 May, 2024

Key View

  • Brazil has been hit by severe floods in recent days, with the southern state of Rio Grande do Sul experiencing its wettest May in over 60 years. 
  • For now, we continue to believe that Brazil can hit our 2.1% average annual GDP growth target for 2024. However, risks are increasingly skewed to the downside. 
  • The floods could knock upwards of 0
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Cayman Islands Set For Steady Economic Growth In 2024

Country Risk / Cayman Islands / Fri 17 May, 2024

Key View

  • We forecast real GDP growth of 2.1% in the Cayman Islands in 2024, down from estimated growth of 3.4% in 2023.
  • Economic growth will be driven in the main by recovering private consumption, supported by lower inflation, as well as the robust performance of the tourism sector.
  • Base effects, weak investment, and low government spending will
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