Europe Defence & Security Blogs

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Russia-NATO Baltic War Scenarios

BMI Research regularly carries out scenario analysis of 'low probability-high impact' events that fall outside our core forecasts, yet would be a tremendous shock to the international system if they...

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Obama's Foreign Policy 'Tetralemma'

US President Barack Obama's administration faces a major 'tetralemma' in terms of prioritising its foreign policy challenges. The four main geopolitical challenges for the US are (in west to east...

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What If Russia Invades Ukraine?

Latest developments in the Eastern Ukrainian city of Donetsk, where pro-Russian protestors are demanding a referendum on secession, raise the possibility of Russian military intervention. The interim...

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