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Russia-NATO Baltic War Scenarios

BMI Research regularly carries out scenario analysis of 'low probability-high impact' events that fall outside our core forecasts, yet would be a tremendous shock to the international system if they...

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A New Cold War?

The Russia-Ukraine conflict this year and the celebrations over the weekend marking the 25th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall have rekindled memories of the Cold War. Many are asking...

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Obama's Foreign Policy 'Tetralemma'

US President Barack Obama's administration faces a major 'tetralemma' in terms of prioritising its foreign policy challenges. The four main geopolitical challenges for the US are (in west to east...

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