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Macedonia's Crisis Merits Vigilance

The political crisis in Macedonia merits considerable vigilance, for if the country descends into violence, it could destabilise the Balkans and create another bone of contention between Russia and...

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Scenarios For Post-Election UK

May 7th is set to be a tight run election and the prospects for either Labour or the Conservatives gaining an outright majority are slim. With a plethora of smaller parties battling to play kingmaker...

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April Global Economic Outlook

We forecast global real GDP growth of 3.0% in 2015, a rise from the 2012-2014 average of 2.7%. However, this improvement will come with significant differentiation between economies. Most major...

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False Dawn For Oil Prices

Oil prices look on the verge of a short-term rally, and a decisive push by Brent above USD65.00/bbl would suggest additional gains in the coming weeks. However, speculative positioning has...

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