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Panda Bond Rise To Continue Albeit Off Records Pace

After a banner year for the issuance of yuan-denominated bonds by overseas firms in the Chinese Mainland last year, we believe that, while still extremely active, the sale of so-called 'panda bonds' in 2017 will fall short of last year's record tally. While overseas investor appetite to tap the deepening pool of debt capital market liquidity in China is on a long-term upwards trajectory (a trend we expect to continue once the ongoing tightening at present plays out), we highlight that our view of a steady, rather than bumper haul of deals this year is heavily linked to the fortunes of the Chinese currency, which will draw issuers onshore as long as it remains weak.

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Nick Johnston

Head of Econometrics & Data
Financial Markets | London

Tim Cooper, CFA

Global Economic Strategist
Banking & Finance | London

Lisa Lewin, CFA

Global Economist
Banking & Finance | London
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