Content type

Strong External Demand To Help Growth In Azerbaijan

Country Risk / Azerbaijan / Tue 28 Sep, 2021

Key View

  • We at Fitch Solutions retain our view that Azerbaijan’s economy will grow by 2.5% in 2021 and strengthen by 3.3% in 2022.
  • The ongoing economic recovery in continental Europe will help provide support to Azerbaijan’s external sector in 2021 and 2022 given resilient oil and gas demand.
  • Domestic demand will be slower to recover
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Azeri Oil Sector Battling Accelerated Decline

Oil & Gas / Azerbaijan / Tue 23 Jun, 2020

Key View

  • Commitment to the OPEC+ production cut deal will place additional downside pressure on Azeri downside pressure over H220 and 2021, with government mandating cutbacks among private players.
  • The Covid-19 induced price collapse will accelerate underlying decline rates, as companies sharply reduce their capital expenditures. The
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GDP Growth To Remain Broadly Steady In Azerbaijan In 2020

Country Risk / Azerbaijan / Wed 11 Mar, 2020

Key View

  • At Fitch Solutions, we believe economic growth in Azerbaijan will come in at 2.9% and 3.0% in 2020 and 2021 respectively, up slightly from an estimated 2.8% outturn in 2019.
  • Real GDP growth will remain mainly driven by domestic demand over the coming quarters, rather than energy exports as has typically been the case for the country.
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Azerbaijan's Growth Profile To Slowly Improve

Corporates / Azerbaijan / Wed 25 Sep, 2019

Key View

  • Azerbaijan's growth profile looks set to continue gradually improving over the coming quarters, amid recovering energy prices, solid household consumption and the government's improved fiscal position.
  • At Fitch Solutions, we have revised up our forecasts for real GDP growth to come in at an estimated 2.8% in 2019, from 2.5%
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Improving But Sluggish Growth Ahead In Azerbaijan

Country Risk / Azerbaijan / Wed 13 Mar, 2019

Key View

  • At Fitch Solutions, we forecast real GDP growth of 2.5% and 2.9% in 2019 and 2020 in Azerbaijan, up from previous forecasts of 1.3% and 2.1% respectively.
  • The upward revision reflects a recent rebound in oil prices and lower inflationary pressures allowing for a brighter private consumption outlook.
  • That said, our forecasts imply
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