Articles

Latin America Relatively Insulated From Red Sea Trade Disruptions, But Still Vulnerable To Energy Price Spike

Country Risk / Latin America / Tue 13 Feb, 2024

Key View

  • If the Israel-Hamas war were to expand into a regional conflict and have a meaningful impact on global oil prices, it would place pressure on inflation rates in Latin America and likely delay or reverse rate cutting cycles.
  • That said, compared to other regions of the world, we believe that Latin America is relatively insulated
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Burundian Economy Will See Stronger Growth In 2024

Country Risk / Burundi / Tue 13 Feb, 2024

Key View

  • We forecast that real GDP growth in Burundi will accelerate from an estimated 2.6% in 2023, to 4.5% in 2024, aided by easing inflation and favourable conditions for agricultural production. 
  • The liberalisation of the foreign exchange market in 2023 will boost Burundi’s export competitiveness, supporting net exports’ contribution
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